Baltimore Orioles 2012 Preview

Projected Record: 70-92

Player WAR Player WAR
C Matt Wieters 4.6 SP1 Zach Britton 2.3
1B Mark Reynolds 2.1 SP2 Jason Hammel 1.5
2B Brian Roberts 1 SP3 Tsuyoshi Wada 0.8
SS JJ Hardy 3.8 SP4 Jake Arrieta 0.6
3B Chris Davis 0.5 SP5 Tommy Hunter 1
LF Nolan Reimold 2.1 CP Jim Johnson 1
CF Adam Jones 3.1 RP Matt Lindstrom 0.5
RF Nick Markakis 2.2 RP Kevin Gregg 0
DH Wilson Betemit 1.1 RP Alfredo Simon 0.3
Bench Robert Andino 1 RP Darren O’Day 0.5
Bench Ronny Paulino 0.2 RP Wei-Yin Chen 0.8
Bench Endy Chavez 1 RP Jason Berken 0.2
Bench Jai Miller 0 Pedro Strop 0.4
Bench Ryan Adams 0 Troy Patton 0.2
Josh Bell -0.2 Brian Matusz 1.1
22.5 11.2

The Orioles have not won more than 69 games in the last 5 seasons. Call me optimistic, but I currently have them projected for 70 wins this season. An exciting time to be an Orioles fan, that’s for sure. They do have a couple of pretty decent players, such as Matt Wieters, who I project to be their most valuable player, but all in all they don’t have a very good team. Besides Wieters, JJ Hardy and Adam Jones are the only other members of the starting lineup that project to be above average. Markakis will put up his usual 2 wins, and Mark Reynolds could be passable if Showalter is smart and keeps him off the hot corner. It’s hard to say what they’ll get out of Brian Roberts when he comes back, but the combination of him and Andino at second is probably below average. Wilson Betemit, Chris Davis and Nolan Reimold round out the rest of the lineup and project to be about as uninspiring as you’d think, although they’re probably better than what Felix Pie and Vladimir Guerrero gave them in 2011. The bench is weak, and they don’t have much depth at all.

Their rotation is even worse, being led by Zach Britton after the Jeremy Guthrie trade. That being said, there’s a bit of upside, if Brian Matusz can come back, or if Tsuyoshi Wada or Wei-Yin Chen turn out to be alright. Jason Hammel will probably provide a very similar output to what Guthrie would have, although he’s never pitched more than 178 innings in the majors; while Guthrie has pitched over 200 for 3 straight years. The other spots are filled by Jake Arrieta and Tommy Hunter. Jim Johnson is a quality closer, although Matt Lindstrom may compete for the job in spring training. The rest of the pen is fairly slim, with Kevin Gregg and Darren O’Day potentially being average. All in all, not a lot to look forward to for the next couple of years in Baltimore.

Offseason Acquisitions: Wilson Betemit, Taylor Teagarden, Endy Chavez, Ronny Paulino, Jason Hammel, Matt Lindstrom, Darren O’Day, Dana Eveland, Tsuyoshi Wada, Wei-Yin Chen, Dennys Reyes, Pat Neshek, Armando Galarraga

Offseason Losses: Felix Pie, Vladimir Guerrero, Jake Fox, Cesar Izturis, Luke Scott, Jeremy Guthrie, Jeremy Accardo, Mitch Atkins, Jo-Jo Reyes


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